<- Go home

Added to YB: 2026-08-05

Pitch date: 2026-05-29

HGV [bullish]

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.

-12.7%

current return

Author Info

No bio for this author

Company Info

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. develops, markets, sells, manages, and operates the resorts, timeshare plans, and ancillary reservation services under the Hilton Grand Vacations brand in the United States, Japan, and Europe.

Market Cap

$3.5B

Pitch Price

$52.98

Price Target

115.00 (+154%)

Dividend

N/A

EV/EBITDA

11.33

P/E

25.44

EV/Sales

2.39

Sector

Hotels, Restaurants and Leisure

Category

turnaround

Show full summary:
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. - $HGV

HGV: Vacation ownership leader post Diamond/Bluegreen integration entering FCF inflection. Trades 4.7x FY27 FCF vs 10x target = $115 PT (~2x). Thesis: mid-SD EBITDA growth + ~15%/yr buybacks (retired ~1/3 shares since '22) drives 25%+ FCF/share growth in '27. HGV Max upgrade runway (only 1/3 converted), Q1 first guide raise since '23 signals integration done. Consensus too conservative on buyback leverage. Risk: consumer macro.

Read full article (17 min)