<- Go home

Added to YB: 2026-05-29

Pitch date: 2026-05-27

RIVN [neutral]

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

+4.04%

current return

Author Info

Mulberry Financial shares long-form equity equity and macroeconomic research from the perspective of a value investor. Sign up for the newsletter.

Company Info

Rivian Automotive, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells category-defining electric vehicles.

Market Cap

$18.8B

Pitch Price

$14.61

Price Target

85.00 (+478%)

Dividend

N/A

EV/EBITDA

-8.03

P/E

-5.07

EV/Sales

3.48

Sector

Automobiles

Category

growth

Show full summary:
Rivian Stock Analysis: 4 Catalysts, 3 Risks, and the R2 Ramp (2026)

RIVN (deep dive): Proprietary zonal architecture reduces ECUs from 17→3, validated by VW's $5.8B JV + $1B milestone payment. Software/services rev +221% YoY to $1.6B (29% of total). R2 launch 2026 targets $7,415 gross profit/unit (50% cost cut vs R1) at $53k ASP, ramping to 215k capacity. Uber partnership: 10-50k autonomous R2s by 2031 + $1.25B investment. Bulls: mass-market TAM expansion, software licensing moat, direct sales model. Bears: $3B 2026 net loss, $2B capex burn, hybrid competition, execution risk on GA plant ramp. Trading 3.4x EV/S vs TSLA 14.9x, Bosch 5.0x.

Read full article (29 min)