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Added to YB: 2025-08-11

Pitch date: 2025-08-08

CENX [bullish]

Century Aluminum Company

+157.36%

current return

Author Info

Aurelion Research is a research analyst with a passion for markets, specializing in high‑conviction ideas across shipping, offshore drilling, and thematic equity research. Sign up for the newsletter.

Company Info

Century Aluminum Company, together with its subsidiaries, produces primary aluminum and alumina in the United States and Iceland.

Market Cap

$5.4B

Pitch Price

$22.84

Price Target

30.00

Dividend

N/A

EV/EBITDA

19.64

P/E

15.20

EV/Sales

2.31

Sector

Metals and Mining

Category

value

Show full summary:
CENX: Premium Metal at a Discount

CENX: 25% tariff + Section 45X credit = $110M+ annual recurring cash flow. Iceland's hybrid power deal cuts costs 15%, Natur-Al billet earns $30-60/t green premium w/ doubled cast-house capacity. Net debt $448M, 1.7x EBITDA, no maturity until 2027. Trading 9x EBITDA, below $2.1B replacement cost. DCF $30 PT. Risks: tariff rollback, LME drop to $2k/t, power spike

Read full article (4 min)