Added to YB: 2026-03-13
Pitch date: 2026-01-15
POST [bearish]
Post Holdings, Inc.
+0.23%
current return
Author Info
No bio for this author
Company Info
Post Holdings, Inc. operates as a consumer packaged goods holding company in the United States and internationally.
Market Cap
$5.0B
Pitch Price
$97.98
Price Target
65.00 (-36%)
Dividend
N/A
EV/EBITDA
8.03
P/E
19.28
EV/Sales
1.46
Sector
Food Products
Category
value
Post Holdings, Inc. - $POST (short)
POST (short): Structurally declining cereal CPG (49% rev) facing 4-6% organic decline as breakfast habits shift. Hostile admin targeting ultra-processed foods. Input cost deflation (eggs -67%, potatoes -60%, cheese -20% YoY) reverses prior gross profit tailwind. BellRing growth decelerating. Private label gaining share vs mid-tier brands. 4.5x levered limits M&A engine. Trading at premium to declining CPG peers despite worse brand positioning. Q1 catalyst on foodservice pricing pressure. PT $65 on 10x $6.50 EPS vs current premium valuation.
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