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Added to YB: 2026-02-09

Pitch date: 2026-02-05

CVNA [bearish]

Carvana Co.

+19.04%

current return

Author Info

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Company Info

Carvana Co., together with its subsidiaries, operates an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars.

Market Cap

$43.2B

Pitch Price

$391.36

Price Target

165.00 (-48%)

Dividend

N/A

EV/EBITDA

21.00

P/E

35.75

EV/Sales

2.30

Sector

Specialty Retail

Category

N/A

Show full summary:
Carvana: Subprime Auto in Prime Clothing

CVNA (short): 10,000% rally from $4 to $415 built on deteriorating credit hidden behind 'prime' label. 100% stated income, 39% underwater at origination (vs 8-17% industry avg), sub-550 FICO borrowers added for first time, extension spikes near trigger thresholds. Securitization model at risk as losses peak Q2-Q3 2026. Target $165-250 (40-60% downside) over 12-18 months.

Read full article (34 min)