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Added to YB: 2026-01-16

Pitch date: 2026-01-15

PBR [neutral]

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras

+25.82%

current return

Author Info

HFI Research is a contrarian investment research firm with expertise in the energy sector with a focus on oil and natural gas. Sign up for the newsletter.

Company Info

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras explores, produces, and sells oil and gas in Brazil and internationally.

Market Cap

BRL 511.5B

Pitch Price

BRL 33.96

Price Target

30.13 (-29%)

Dividend

15.10%

EV/EBITDA

3.60

P/E

6.31

EV/Sales

1.68

Sector

Oil, Gas and Consumable Fuels

Category

dividend

Show full summary:
(Public) Petrobras Primer

PBR (overview): Brazil's national oil co at $15, valued $20-25. 88% of Brazil's production, 80%+ earnings from E&P. Pre-salt fields produce 1.81M boe/d but exploration declining - only 2 of 17 wells in 2023 were productive. Political risk overstated; CEO fired for dividend but $2.67/share capacity at $80 Brent = 17.6% yield. 11.5yr reserves, $43.6B net debt vs $40B cash flow. Target $30.13 at $100 oil (100% upside). Prefer buying at $12-13 on fear.

Read full article (17 min)