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Added to YB: 2026-01-16

Pitch date: 2026-01-15

PBR [neutral]

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras

+42.97%

current return

Author Info

HFI Research is a contrarian investment research firm with expertise in the energy sector with a focus on oil and natural gas. Sign up for the newsletter.

Company Info

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras explores, produces, and sells oil and gas in Brazil, China, the United States, the Americas, Asia, Europe, Singapore, and internationally.

Market Cap

BRL 608.5B

Pitch Price

BRL 32.13

Price Target

30.13 (-34%)

Dividend

7.22%

EV/EBITDA

3.19

P/E

4.28

EV/Sales

1.68

Sector

Oil, Gas and Consumable Fuels

Category

dividend

Show full summary:
(Public) Petrobras Primer

PBR (overview): Brazil's national oil co at $15, valued $20-25. 88% of Brazil's production, 80%+ earnings from E&P. Pre-salt fields produce 1.81M boe/d but exploration declining - only 2 of 17 wells in 2023 were productive. Political risk overstated; CEO fired for dividend but $2.67/share capacity at $80 Brent = 17.6% yield. 11.5yr reserves, $43.6B net debt vs $40B cash flow. Target $30.13 at $100 oil (100% upside). Prefer buying at $12-13 on fear.

Read full article (17 min)